{"id":3236,"date":"2026-08-11T18:44:12","date_gmt":"2026-08-11T18:44:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/propvator.com\/blog\/how-to-trade-against-retail-traders-and-become-profitable\/"},"modified":"2026-08-11T18:44:12","modified_gmt":"2026-08-11T18:44:12","slug":"how-to-trade-against-retail-traders-and-become-profitable","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/propvator.com\/blog\/how-to-trade-against-retail-traders-and-become-profitable\/","title":{"rendered":"How to Trade Against Retail Traders and Be Profitable"},"content":{"rendered":"<div style=\"max-width:600px;margin:0 auto 16px;\">\n<div style=\"display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:6px;background:rgba(37,99,235,0.12);border:1px solid rgba(37,99,235,0.28);border-radius:20px;padding:5px 14px;\"><span style=\"width:6px;height:6px;background:#60a5fa;border-radius:50%;display:inline-block;\"><\/span><span style=\"font-size:12px;font-weight:700;color:#60a5fa;font-family:Poppins,Arial,sans-serif;letter-spacing:0.07em;text-transform:uppercase;letter-spacing:0.04em;\">Trading Talk with Eman &middot; Ep. 28<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"max-width:600px;margin:0 auto 0;\">\n<p style=\"font-size:14.5px;color:rgba(226,232,240,0.92);font-family:Arial,sans-serif;line-height:1.8;margin:0 0 16px 0;\">Over 70% of retail traders lose money. So why not do the opposite of what they do? It is absolutely possible, and it is what most institutional traders do.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-size:14.5px;color:rgba(226,232,240,0.92);font-family:Arial,sans-serif;line-height:1.8;margin:0;\">Institutions have better tools and data than retail, but the real edge is simpler. They understand retail behaviour and they trade against it, and you can learn to do the same.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<h3 style=\"font-size:18px;font-weight:700;color:#ffffff;font-family:Poppins,Arial,sans-serif;margin:30px auto 14px;max-width:600px;line-height:1.4;\">Key takeaways<\/h3>\n<div style=\"max-width:600px;margin:0 auto 0;\">\n<div style=\"display:flex;gap:0;align-items:flex-start;\">\n<div style=\"display:flex;flex-direction:column;align-items:center;width:34px;flex-shrink:0;\">\n<div style=\"width:26px;height:26px;border-radius:50%;background:#60a5fa22;border:2px solid #60a5fa;display:flex;align-items:center;justify-content:center;\"><span style=\"font-size:12px;font-weight:700;color:#60a5fa;font-family:Poppins,Arial,sans-serif;\">1<\/span><\/div>\n<div style=\"flex:1;width:2px;background:rgba(148,163,184,0.14);min-height:14px;margin-top:3px;\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"flex:1;padding:0 0 13px 12px;\">\n<div style=\"background:linear-gradient(135deg,rgba(8,16,40,0.75) 0%,rgba(16,28,66,0.65) 100%);border:1px solid rgba(37,99,235,0.22);border-radius:14px;box-shadow:0 4px 24px rgba(0,0,0,0.25);padding:11px 15px;\">\n<div style=\"font-size:14px;font-weight:700;color:#fff;font-family:Poppins,Arial,sans-serif;margin-bottom:4px;\">Do the opposite<\/div>\n<p style=\"font-size:13px;color:rgba(226,232,240,0.88);font-family:Arial,sans-serif;line-height:1.65;margin:0;\">Since over 70% of retail traders lose, understanding their common behaviour and trading against it puts the odds back in your favour.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"display:flex;gap:0;align-items:flex-start;\">\n<div style=\"display:flex;flex-direction:column;align-items:center;width:34px;flex-shrink:0;\">\n<div style=\"width:26px;height:26px;border-radius:50%;background:#60a5fa22;border:2px solid #60a5fa;display:flex;align-items:center;justify-content:center;\"><span style=\"font-size:12px;font-weight:700;color:#60a5fa;font-family:Poppins,Arial,sans-serif;\">2<\/span><\/div>\n<div style=\"flex:1;width:2px;background:rgba(148,163,184,0.14);min-height:14px;margin-top:3px;\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"flex:1;padding:0 0 13px 12px;\">\n<div style=\"background:linear-gradient(135deg,rgba(8,16,40,0.75) 0%,rgba(16,28,66,0.65) 100%);border:1px solid rgba(37,99,235,0.22);border-radius:14px;box-shadow:0 4px 24px rgba(0,0,0,0.25);padding:11px 15px;\">\n<div style=\"font-size:14px;font-weight:700;color:#fff;font-family:Poppins,Arial,sans-serif;margin-bottom:4px;\">Wait for the real break<\/div>\n<p style=\"font-size:13px;color:rgba(226,232,240,0.88);font-family:Arial,sans-serif;line-height:1.65;margin:0;\">Retail rushes to trade the first move out of a range, so wait for a full breakout and a retest before you enter.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"display:flex;gap:0;align-items:flex-start;\">\n<div style=\"display:flex;flex-direction:column;align-items:center;width:34px;flex-shrink:0;\">\n<div style=\"width:26px;height:26px;border-radius:50%;background:#6ee7b722;border:2px solid #6ee7b7;display:flex;align-items:center;justify-content:center;\"><span style=\"font-size:12px;font-weight:700;color:#6ee7b7;font-family:Poppins,Arial,sans-serif;\">3<\/span><\/div>\n<div style=\"flex:1;width:2px;background:rgba(148,163,184,0.14);min-height:14px;margin-top:3px;\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"flex:1;padding:0 0 13px 12px;\">\n<div style=\"background:linear-gradient(135deg,rgba(8,16,40,0.75) 0%,rgba(16,28,66,0.65) 100%);border:1px solid rgba(37,99,235,0.22);border-radius:14px;box-shadow:0 4px 24px rgba(0,0,0,0.25);padding:11px 15px;\">\n<div style=\"font-size:14px;font-weight:700;color:#fff;font-family:Poppins,Arial,sans-serif;margin-bottom:4px;\">Be patient, do not predict<\/div>\n<p style=\"font-size:13px;color:rgba(226,232,240,0.88);font-family:Arial,sans-serif;line-height:1.65;margin:0;\">Retail is impatient and tries to predict price, so your edge is following what price actually does and waiting for confirmation.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"display:flex;gap:0;align-items:flex-start;\">\n<div style=\"display:flex;flex-direction:column;align-items:center;width:34px;flex-shrink:0;\">\n<div style=\"width:26px;height:26px;border-radius:50%;background:#6ee7b722;border:2px solid #6ee7b7;display:flex;align-items:center;justify-content:center;\"><span style=\"font-size:12px;font-weight:700;color:#6ee7b7;font-family:Poppins,Arial,sans-serif;\">4<\/span><\/div>\n<div style=\"flex:1;width:2px;background:rgba(148,163,184,0.14);min-height:14px;margin-top:3px;\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"flex:1;padding:0 0 13px 12px;\">\n<div style=\"background:linear-gradient(135deg,rgba(8,16,40,0.75) 0%,rgba(16,28,66,0.65) 100%);border:1px solid rgba(37,99,235,0.22);border-radius:14px;box-shadow:0 4px 24px rgba(0,0,0,0.25);padding:11px 15px;\">\n<div style=\"font-size:14px;font-weight:700;color:#fff;font-family:Poppins,Arial,sans-serif;margin-bottom:4px;\">Follow the trend<\/div>\n<p style=\"font-size:13px;color:rgba(226,232,240,0.88);font-family:Arial,sans-serif;line-height:1.65;margin:0;\">Retail sells uptrends thinking price is expensive, but there is no expensive or cheap, so join the momentum until it weakens.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"display:flex;gap:0;align-items:flex-start;\">\n<div style=\"display:flex;flex-direction:column;align-items:center;width:34px;flex-shrink:0;\">\n<div style=\"width:26px;height:26px;border-radius:50%;background:#c4b5fd22;border:2px solid #c4b5fd;display:flex;align-items:center;justify-content:center;\"><span style=\"font-size:12px;font-weight:700;color:#c4b5fd;font-family:Poppins,Arial,sans-serif;\">5<\/span><\/div>\n<div style=\"flex:1;width:2px;background:rgba(148,163,184,0.14);min-height:14px;margin-top:3px;\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"flex:1;padding:0 0 13px 12px;\">\n<div style=\"background:linear-gradient(135deg,rgba(8,16,40,0.75) 0%,rgba(16,28,66,0.65) 100%);border:1px solid rgba(37,99,235,0.22);border-radius:14px;box-shadow:0 4px 24px rgba(0,0,0,0.25);padding:11px 15px;\">\n<div style=\"font-size:14px;font-weight:700;color:#fff;font-family:Poppins,Arial,sans-serif;margin-bottom:4px;\">Widen your stops<\/div>\n<p style=\"font-size:13px;color:rgba(226,232,240,0.88);font-family:Arial,sans-serif;line-height:1.65;margin:0;\">Retail sets stops too tight just under the higher low, so give yours more room or use that level as your entry for a better risk to reward.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"display:flex;gap:0;align-items:flex-start;\">\n<div style=\"display:flex;flex-direction:column;align-items:center;width:34px;flex-shrink:0;\">\n<div style=\"width:26px;height:26px;border-radius:50%;background:#c4b5fd22;border:2px solid #c4b5fd;display:flex;align-items:center;justify-content:center;\"><span style=\"font-size:12px;font-weight:700;color:#c4b5fd;font-family:Poppins,Arial,sans-serif;\">6<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"flex:1;padding:0 0 2px 12px;\">\n<div style=\"background:linear-gradient(135deg,rgba(8,16,40,0.75) 0%,rgba(16,28,66,0.65) 100%);border:1px solid rgba(37,99,235,0.22);border-radius:14px;box-shadow:0 4px 24px rgba(0,0,0,0.25);padding:11px 15px;\">\n<div style=\"font-size:14px;font-weight:700;color:#fff;font-family:Poppins,Arial,sans-serif;margin-bottom:4px;\">Check IG client sentiment<\/div>\n<p style=\"font-size:13px;color:rgba(226,232,240,0.88);font-family:Arial,sans-serif;line-height:1.65;margin:0;\">IG publishes what its traders are buying and selling, and since most lose long term, a heavy crowd position is a useful counter signal.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"display:flex;align-items:center;gap:10px;margin:16px auto;max-width:600px;\">\n<div style=\"flex:1;height:1px;background:linear-gradient(to right,transparent,rgba(148,163,184,0.35));\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"display:flex;gap:4px;align-items:center;\">\n<div style=\"width:3px;height:3px;background:rgba(203,213,225,0.3);border-radius:50%;\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"width:5px;height:5px;background:rgba(203,213,225,0.55);border-radius:50%;box-shadow:0 0 6px rgba(203,213,225,0.25);\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"width:3px;height:3px;background:rgba(203,213,225,0.3);border-radius:50%;\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"flex:1;height:1px;background:linear-gradient(to left,transparent,rgba(148,163,184,0.35));\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<h3 style=\"font-size:18px;font-weight:700;color:#ffffff;font-family:Poppins,Arial,sans-serif;margin:30px auto 14px;max-width:600px;line-height:1.4;\">Ranging markets and fake breakouts<\/h3>\n<div style=\"max-width:600px;margin:0 auto 0;\">\n<p style=\"font-size:14.5px;color:rgba(226,232,240,0.92);font-family:Arial,sans-serif;line-height:1.8;margin:0 0 16px 0;\">Picture a range as a box, with support at the bottom and resistance at the top. It is not a great condition to trade, and many mentors say avoid it, but retail trades it anyway and mostly loses.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-size:14.5px;color:rgba(226,232,240,0.92);font-family:Arial,sans-serif;line-height:1.8;margin:0 0 16px 0;\">What retail does is jump in the moment price pokes slightly above or below the box. They are quick to predict, so they hit buy on a small break of resistance. Institutions know this and sell into it, and that is your fake out.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-size:14.5px;color:rgba(226,232,240,0.92);font-family:Arial,sans-serif;line-height:1.8;margin:0;\">In practice, do not chase that first move. Wait for price to fully break out without reversing, then wait for it to come back to the resistance level a second time. That retest is a far better entry.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"max-width:600px;margin:20px auto;background:linear-gradient(135deg,rgba(8,16,40,0.75) 0%,rgba(16,28,66,0.65) 100%);border:1px solid rgba(37,99,235,0.22);border-radius:14px;box-shadow:0 4px 24px rgba(0,0,0,0.25);border-left:4px solid #60a5fa;border-radius:0 14px 14px 0;padding:18px 22px;\">\n<p style=\"font-size:17px;font-weight:700;color:#fff;font-family:Poppins,Arial,sans-serif;line-height:1.5;margin:0;\">&ldquo;You wait for price to fully break out without a fake out, then buy the retest, not the first move.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<h3 style=\"font-size:18px;font-weight:700;color:#ffffff;font-family:Poppins,Arial,sans-serif;margin:30px auto 14px;max-width:600px;line-height:1.4;\">Trending markets and the mistakes retail makes<\/h3>\n<div style=\"max-width:600px;margin:0 auto 0;\">\n<p style=\"font-size:14.5px;color:rgba(226,232,240,0.92);font-family:Arial,sans-serif;line-height:1.8;margin:0 0 16px 0;\">In an uptrend price makes higher highs and higher lows. Newer traders sell into it because they think price is too expensive, but there is no such thing as expensive or cheap with currencies.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-size:14.5px;color:rgba(226,232,240,0.92);font-family:Arial,sans-serif;line-height:1.8;margin:0 0 16px 0;\">The vast majority of the time, if price is going up it keeps going up until you see signs of reversal, so join the momentum instead of fighting it. Watch for weak rejections and smaller candle bodies, and that is when buyers are getting tired.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-size:14.5px;color:rgba(226,232,240,0.92);font-family:Arial,sans-serif;line-height:1.8;margin:0;\">More experienced retail traders do buy the uptrend, but they set stops way too tight, right under the higher low. A deep retracement hits those stops and then price goes back up. So widen your stop, or put your entry near that higher low for a better risk to reward and a higher win rate.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<h3 style=\"font-size:18px;font-weight:700;color:#ffffff;font-family:Poppins,Arial,sans-serif;margin:30px auto 14px;max-width:600px;line-height:1.4;\">A bonus tip: IG client sentiment<\/h3>\n<div style=\"max-width:600px;margin:0 auto 0;\">\n<p style=\"font-size:14.5px;color:rgba(226,232,240,0.92);font-family:Arial,sans-serif;line-height:1.8;margin:0 0 16px 0;\">There is a well known regulated broker called IG that actually publishes its traders&#8217; activity in real time, showing how many are buying and selling a pair.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-size:14.5px;color:rgba(226,232,240,0.92);font-family:Arial,sans-serif;line-height:1.8;margin:0 0 16px 0;\">Search IG client sentiment followed by the pair, for example EUR USD, and you might see 80% buying. At the same time the site discloses that around 65% of their traders lose money.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-size:14.5px;color:rgba(226,232,240,0.92);font-family:Arial,sans-serif;line-height:1.8;margin:0;\">So if 80% are buying and most lose long term, maybe that is not a good buy. I use it as a confirmation. When I am about to sell and I see most retail buying, that adds confidence. It does not work every time, because nothing does, but over the long term the crowd loses.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"display:flex;align-items:center;gap:10px;margin:16px auto;max-width:600px;\">\n<div style=\"flex:1;height:1px;background:linear-gradient(to right,transparent,rgba(148,163,184,0.35));\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"display:flex;gap:4px;align-items:center;\">\n<div style=\"width:3px;height:3px;background:rgba(203,213,225,0.3);border-radius:50%;\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"width:5px;height:5px;background:rgba(203,213,225,0.55);border-radius:50%;box-shadow:0 0 6px rgba(203,213,225,0.25);\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"width:3px;height:3px;background:rgba(203,213,225,0.3);border-radius:50%;\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"flex:1;height:1px;background:linear-gradient(to left,transparent,rgba(148,163,184,0.35));\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"max-width:600px;margin:0 auto;background:linear-gradient(135deg,rgba(8,16,40,0.85) 0%,rgba(16,28,66,0.75) 100%);border:1px solid rgba(37,99,235,0.30);border-radius:16px;padding:22px;text-align:center;box-shadow:0 6px 30px rgba(0,0,0,0.3);\">\n<div style=\"font-size:19px;font-weight:700;color:#fff;font-family:Poppins,Arial,sans-serif;margin:0 0 6px 0;\">Find your prop firm on Propvator<\/div>\n<p style=\"font-size:13.5px;color:rgba(226,232,240,0.9);font-family:Arial,sans-serif;line-height:1.7;margin:0 0 16px 0;\">If you have the skill but need capital, compare reliable prop firms with fair conditions on Propvator.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/propvator.com\/\" style=\"text-decoration:none;\"><button style=\"background:linear-gradient(135deg,#1d4ed8 0%,#2563eb 100%);color:#fff;padding:13px 32px;border:none;border-radius:9px;cursor:pointer;font-weight:700;font-size:15px;font-family:Poppins,Arial,sans-serif;box-shadow:0 3px 16px rgba(37,99,235,0.42);\">Compare Prop Firms<\/button><\/a><\/div>\n<h3 style=\"font-size:18px;font-weight:700;color:#ffffff;font-family:Poppins,Arial,sans-serif;margin:30px auto 14px;max-width:600px;line-height:1.4;\">Frequently asked questions<\/h3>\n<div id=\"fq28\" style=\"max-width:600px;margin:0 auto;\"><\/div>\n<p><script>(function(){var Q=[{\"q\": \"Can you really just do the opposite of retail traders?\", \"a\": \"You cannot copy institutions on tools and data, but you can understand retail behaviour and trade against it. Since over 70% of retail traders lose money, avoiding their common mistakes already improves your odds.\"}, {\"q\": \"How should I trade a breakout from a range?\", \"a\": \"Do not chase the first move out of the box, since that is often a fake out. Wait for price to fully break out without reversing, then wait for it to retest the level a second time before entering.\"}, {\"q\": \"What is IG client sentiment and how do I use it?\", \"a\": \"IG is a regulated broker that publishes what percentage of its traders are buying and selling a pair in real time. Since most retail traders lose over the long term, a heavily one sided crowd can act as a counter signal or extra confirmation.\"}];var h=\"\";Q.forEach(function(q,i){h+='<\/p>\n<div style=\"background:linear-gradient(135deg,rgba(8,16,40,0.75) 0%,rgba(16,28,66,0.65) 100%);border:1px solid rgba(37,99,235,0.22);border-radius:14px;box-shadow:0 4px 24px rgba(0,0,0,0.25);margin-bottom:8px;overflow:hidden;\">\n<div onclick=\"pq28('+i+')\" style=\"cursor:pointer;display:flex;justify-content:space-between;align-items:center;gap:12px;padding:15px 18px;\"><span style=\"font-size:14.5px;font-weight:700;color:#fff;font-family:Poppins,Arial,sans-serif;\">'+q.q+'<\/span><span id=\"qi28'+i+'\" style=\"color:#60a5fa;font-size:18px;font-weight:700;flex-shrink:0;transition:transform 0.25s;\">+<\/span><\/div>\n<div id=\"qa28'+i+'\" style=\"max-height:0;overflow:hidden;transition:max-height 0.3s ease;\">\n<p style=\"font-size:13.5px;color:rgba(226,232,240,0.9);font-family:Arial,sans-serif;line-height:1.7;margin:0;padding:0 18px 16px;\">'+q.a+'<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>';});document.getElementById(\"fq28\").innerHTML=h;})();<\/script><script>function pq28(i){var a=document.getElementById(\"qa28\"+i),ic=document.getElementById(\"qi28\"+i);if(a.style.maxHeight&&a.style.maxHeight!==\"0px\"){a.style.maxHeight=\"0px\";ic.style.transform=\"rotate(0deg)\";}else{a.style.maxHeight=a.scrollHeight+\"px\";ic.style.transform=\"rotate(45deg)\";}}<\/script><script type=\"application\/ld+json\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@type\":\"FAQPage\",\"mainEntity\":[{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Can you really just do the opposite of retail traders?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"You cannot copy institutions on tools and data, but you can understand retail behaviour and trade against it. Since over 70% of retail traders lose money, avoiding their common mistakes already improves your odds.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"How should I trade a breakout from a range?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Do not chase the first move out of the box, since that is often a fake out. Wait for price to fully break out without reversing, then wait for it to retest the level a second time before entering.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"What is IG client sentiment and how do I use it?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"IG is a regulated broker that publishes what percentage of its traders are buying and selling a pair in real time. Since most retail traders lose over the long term, a heavily one sided crowd can act as a counter signal or extra confirmation.\"}}]}<\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Trading Talk with Eman &middot; Ep. 28 Over 70% of retail traders lose money. So why not do the opposite of what they do? It is absolutely possible, and it is what most institutional traders do. Institutions have better tools and data than retail, but the real edge is simpler. They understand retail behaviour and [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"elementor_header_footer","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[53],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3236","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-articles"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO 5.0.0.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Over 70% of retail traders lose money. 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